President Donald Trump Meets With Romanian President Klaus Iohannis At The White House

Economists Are Bad At Predicting Recessions

Every president’s election-year nightmare — a recession — is suddenly looming over the 2020 race. In a survey released earlier this week by the National Association of Business Economics, 38 percent of economists predicted that the country will slip into an economic downturn next year, and another recent poll of economists put the chances of a recession in the next 12 months at 1 in 3. Those predictions are getting a lot of attention, and it’s not hard to see why — an economic slowdown in the middle of the presidential election cycle could reshape the race, potentially changing the calculus of Democratic primary voters and undermining President Trump, who has made the strong economy a central selling point of his presidency.

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Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Was Mentioned Most In The News Last Week?

Former Vice President Joe Biden is still getting the lion’s share of media coverage relative to other candidates, according to data from the TV News Archive,1 which splits cable news coverage across the three networks we monitor — CNN, Fox News and MSNBC — into 15-second clips, and Media Cloud,2 a database of online news stories. Biden’s share of cable news clips and online news stories decreased from last week, but he was still mentioned more on cable news than every other candidate combined.

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2017 Essence Festival – Day 1

Can A Democrat Get Reelected Governor In Louisiana?

A lot of things are unusual about Louisiana’s governor election. There’s the timing (the election is tomorrow, Oct. 12 — a Saturday) and the rules (there may or may not be a second round of voting in November). But perhaps most unusual is the fact that a state as red as Louisiana already has a Democratic governor — and there’s a good chance he wins again.

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Sen. Elizabeth Warren Holds New Hampshire Town Hall

What’s Behind Elizabeth Warren’s Rise In The Polls?

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has come a long way in the polls since the early days of her 2020 presidential campaign. Back in April, she was polling in the mid single digits nationally, but she now leads a number of national and early-state polls. And based on polls from September and August, Warren has expanded her support in a few overlapping directions — making inroads with groups and categories of voters she was previously struggling with. The result is that she is now positioned as the leading alternative to former Vice President Joe Biden. Here’s a look at where Warren has made inroads, so far:

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Republican Control In The States Hasn’t Stopped The Growth Of Government

Five states will hold elections this November for governor or state legislature — and a lot seems to be on the line. In the Louisiana gubernatorial race, a Republican victory would mean total GOP control of the state government; similarly, in Virginia, Democrats could take total control with just a few more legislative victories.

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© Reuters. Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan speaks at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco

Fed’s Kaplan: Trade deal could be positive, open mind on rates

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – The freshly inked U.S.-China trade deal could be a “positive development” for the U.S. economy, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan said on Friday but repeated that he’ll remain open-minded and watching data closely in the run-up to the Fed’s Oct. 29-30 policy meeting.

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: China's Vice Premier Liu gestures to the media between U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin before the two countries' trade negotiations in Washington

U.S., China strike partial trade deal on agricultural purchases, currency

WASHINGTON/BEIJING (Reuters) – The United States and China agreed on Friday to the first phase of a trade deal covering agricultural purchases, currency and some aspects of intellectual property protections, and averting a threatened tariff hike, but President Donald Trump said more needed to be negotiated.

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